American CPI data will be released tonight before the FOMC meeting.

Bitget2023/12/12 06:56

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The US November CPI data will be released at 21:30(UTC+8) tonight. After last week's strong non-farm payroll data, this inflation report may eliminate the final suspense of interest rate hikes and give the Federal Reserve confidence to counter recent market optimism about rate cuts. There may be significant volatility in the market at that time, and investors should pay attention to related risks.

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According to CME FedWatch: There is a 34.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September, and a 65.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike. By October, there is a 25.4% probability that rates will remain unchanged, a 57.2% chance of a cumulative 25 basis points hike, and a 17.4% chance of a cumulative 50 basis points hike.

智通财经•2026/08/31 22:12

Breaking: Saudi oil tanker intercepted in southern Strait of Hormuz

智通财经•2026/08/31 21:16

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has announced that the monthly oil supply report, originally scheduled for release on August 31, will be postponed until September. Relevant authorities stated that the information will be disclosed to the public as soon as the data verification process is completed.

智通财经•2026/08/31 21:06

After Walsh's hawkish remarks, Trump said: "Raising interest rates is absurd. Walsh will do what he must do."

On Monday, Trump said he had great respect for Walsh, stating, "He will do what he needs to do," and added, "In my view, we should be paying interest rates far lower than anywhere else in the world. Raising rates is absurd." Following Walsh's hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium last Friday, market pricing for a rate hike in September rose to about 60%. Barclays now expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates twice more this year, in September and December, whereas previously, Barclays had predicted no further rate hikes this year.

华尔街见闻•2026/08/31 21:02