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Nordic power forward prices rise as Middle East tensions and drought expectations jointly drive up the energy sector

Nordic power forward prices rise as Middle East tensions and drought expectations jointly drive up the energy sector

智通财经智通财经2026/10/08 12:08
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On Thursday, Nordic power forward contracts rose, driven by strength in European natural gas and German electricity markets. The region is highly dependent on hydropower, and weather forecasts indicate drier conditions ahead, further supporting electricity prices. The Nordic base load power contract for next quarter increased by 2.05 euros or 1.87%, closing at 111.5 euros per megawatt-hour. The annual contract for the following year rose by 0.9 euros or 1.34%, settling at 68.1 euros per megawatt-hour. Analysts noted that tensions in the Middle East are spreading, and coupled with expectations of dry weather, Nordic electricity prices are likely to remain strong. Additionally, an attack on an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz has dampened expectations for LNG deliveries, pushing Dutch and UK natural gas prices to two-week highs.

⑴ Nordic power forward contracts rose on Thursday, driven by stronger European natural gas and German power markets; this region is highly dependent on hydropower, and weather forecasts indicate drier conditions ahead, further supporting electricity prices. ⑵ The Nordic base-load power contract for next quarter increased by 2.05 euros, a rise of 1.87%, settling at 111.5 euros/MWh; the contract for the whole of next year rose by 0.9 euros, up 1.34%, to 68.1 euros/MWh. ⑶ Analysts said that tensions in the Middle East are spilling over, combined with expectations of dry weather, and it is expected that Nordic electricity prices will remain relatively strong; an oil tanker attack in the Strait of Hormuz suppressed LNG delivery expectations, pushing Dutch and UK natural gas prices to a two-week high.
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