Data Brief - Major Brokerages' Predictions for the S&P 500 Index in 2026
路透社2026/10/06 09:36Stifel and Jefferies have updated their forecasts. Reuters, October 6 – Global brokerages expect the benchmark S&P 500 Index (.SPX) to extend its rally into 2026, betting on the momentum of artificial intelligence and strong corporate profits, while the war in Iran (link) continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Strategists predict robust AI-driven earnings will offset the short-term economic impacts of Middle East conflicts, though concerns about rising inflation and global energy supply disruptions persist. Major brokerages, including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, expect the benchmark index to reach 8,000 points or higher by year-end. In contrast, BofA Global Research and Wells Fargo remain more cautious, with forecast levels (link) below the consensus. Here are some forecasts for the index's performance this year: Brokerage S&P 500 Target for 2026 BofA Global Research 7,400 Concord Financial 7,500 BNP Paribas 7,500 Wells Fargo 7,700 Evercore ISI 7,750 Seaport Research Partners 7,800 RBC Capital Markets 7,900 Stifel 7,900 Barclays 7,950 Jefferies 8,000 JPMorgan 8,000 Deutsche Bank 8,000 Société Générale 8,000 Goldman Sachs 8,000 Morgan Stanley 8,000 UBS Global Research 8,100 Oppenheimer Asset Management 8,100 Citigroup 8,100 UBS Global Wealth Management 8,100 HSBC 8,100 Wells Fargo Investment Institute 7,800-8,000 *UBS Global Research and UBS Global Wealth Management are two separate business divisions under UBS Group. *Wells Fargo Investment Institute is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo. (To facilitate non-English speakers, Reuters automatically translates its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may be inaccurate or lack necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of these texts and provides them only for reader convenience. Reuters accepts no liability for any damages or loss caused by the use of automated translation features.)
Updated forecasts from Stifel and Jefferies
Reuters, October 6 - Global brokerages predict that the benchmark S&P 500 Index .SPX will continue its upward trend in 2026, betting on the momentum of artificial intelligence and strong corporate profits, while the war in Iran (link) continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
Strategists expect that robust earnings driven by artificial intelligence will offset the short-term economic impact of the Middle East conflict, although concerns about rising inflation and disruptions to global energy supplies persist.
Major brokerages including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup forecast that the benchmark index will reach 8,000 points or higher by the end of the year. In contrast, Bank of America Global Research and Wells Fargo maintain a more cautious outlook, with their forecasts levels (link) below the consensus.
Here are some predictions regarding the index's performance this year:
Brokerage | S&P 500 Index 2026 Target |
Bank of America Global Research | 7,400 |
Concord Financial | 7,500 |
BNP Paribas | 7,500 |
Wells Fargo | 7,700 |
Evercore ISI | 7,750 |
Seaport Research Partners | 7,800 |
RBC Capital Markets | 7,900 |
Stifel | 7,900 |
Barclays | 7,950 |
Jefferies | 8,000 |
JPMorgan | 8,000 |
Deutsche Bank | 8,000 |
Société Générale | 8,000 |
Goldman Sachs | 8,000 |
Morgan Stanley | 8,000 |
UBS Global Research | 8,100 |
Oppenheimer Asset Management | 8,100 |
Citigroup | 8,100 |
UBS Global Wealth Management | 8,100 |
HSBC | 8,100 |
Wells Fargo Investment Institute | 7,800-8,000 |
* UBS Global Research and UBS Global Wealth Management are two independent business units under UBS Group.
* Wells Fargo Investment Institute is a wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo.
(To facilitate non-English speakers, Reuters automatically translates its reports into several other languages. As automated translation may include errors or lack needed context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of automated translations and provides them purely for reader convenience. Reuters assumes no responsibility for any damages or losses arising from the use of automated translation functionality.)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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