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CME FedWatch: Probability of keeping rates unchanged in October is 59.5%

CME FedWatch: Probability of keeping rates unchanged in October is 59.5%

智通财经智通财经2026/09/16 19:01
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According to CME "FedWatch": After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates as expected in September, there is a 59.5% probability that the Fed will keep the rate unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% at its October meeting, a 40.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and a 0.5% probability of a 50 basis point rate hike. By December, there is a 16.7% probability that the Fed will keep the rate unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%, a cumulative 54.0% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, a cumulative 28.9% probability of a 50 basis point rate hike, and a cumulative 0.3% probability of a 75 basis point rate hike.
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