Analyst says XRP enters buy zone after pulling back from 2025 high

The Gaussian Channel as a Signal

JD’s chart applies the Gaussian Channel, a tool that segments price action into three distinct zones: below the channel, within the channel, and above the channel. According to his interpretation, XRP trading below the channel indicates a favorable buy zone. When price sits inside the channel, it is typically a holding scenario. A price breakout above the channel signals potential for a strong upward move.

JD asserted, “Historically, below channel equals buy, inside channel equals hold, and above channel signals a breakout.” He indicated that XRP is currently in the buy zone, expecting the next cycle top to occur after a confirmed breakout.

JD highlights that the Gaussian Channel has consistently offered clear entry and exit points in each XRP cycle since 2014, positioning its current price below the lower band as a significant buy signal.

JD’s analysis has developed a large following within crypto circles, particularly among traders focused on technical indicators and long-term cycle mapping.

Mini dictionary: Gaussian Channel, a technical analysis tool that uses moving averages and standard deviations to highlight trends, reversals, and key price bands on a chart. It often helps traders identify buy and sell signals over time.

Historical Price Cycles and Breakouts

Each major XRP cycle since 2014 has demonstrated a similar sequence on JD’s chart. In 2017, XRP broke above the Gaussian Channel and reached $3. Another breakout occurred in 2021, peaking at $1.96. Most recently, a strong rally in late 2024 saw XRP once again move above the channel, resulting in a surge of over 500%.

This move brought XRP to a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025, before a subsequent pullback placed the price below the channel’s lower edge. JD’s data suggests every cycle has followed a pattern of dropping below the channel, consolidating, and then staging a sharp rally.

Current Price Action and Outlook

As of JD’s latest update, XRP was trading at $1.41. This places the coin below the current Gaussian Channel’s lower band of $1.50422. The indicator’s remaining values for the present period are 1.92574 and 2.34726.

JD’s interpretation sees this pullback as a new buying window, following the previous breakout. He considers $1.41 to be a potential secondary entry, supporting the case for another major move expected to unfold into 2026, with a projected peak by 2028.

Observers emphasize that while XRP experienced a significant rally above the channel in 2025, the current retracement below the lower band may represent a renewed accumulation opportunity based on historical Gaussian Channel performance.

The Gaussian Channel has mapped previous critical buy and top signals with notable consistency, reinforcing its role in JD’s strategy. Following a short entry inside the channel during a rapid price surge in late August, XRP quickly retraced, reaffirming the indicator’s current buy signal. JD expects significant gains to return once price momentum carries XRP back above the channel’s upper limit.