Homrich & Berg: Yield Treasury 30 tahun bertahan di atas 5% seiring pasokan utang dan defisit AS menekan obligasi

Reuters2026/08/11 18:29

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Analisis Homrich & Berg menilai imbal hasil Treasury AS 30 tahun menembus 5,2%, tertinggi sejak 2007, bertahan di atas 5% sejak awal Juli.
Kenaikan dipicu premi risiko inflasi, dipertegas volatilitas pasca rapat FOMC akhir Juli di tengah pergantian ketua.
Pasar menilai kredibilitas reaksi FOMC terhadap inflasi melemah; yield 30 tahun naik sekitar 10 bps pada hari pengumuman.
Penerbitan obligasi berdurasi panjang oleh hyperscaler dinilai menyerap permintaan investor jangka panjang; estimasi suplai utang AI tenor 10 tahun+ sekitar USD 360 miliar.
Defisit fiskal di atas 5% PDB dinilai menahan penurunan yield; CBO memproyeksikan bunga bersih melampaui USD 1 triliun per tahun, sekitar 3,3% PDB pada 2030.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Homrich & Berg Inc published the original content used to generate this news brief on August 11, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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Homrich & Berg: Yield Treasury 30 tahun bertahan di atas 5% seiring pasokan utang dan defisit AS menekan obligasi

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