CRU sees EU carbon price rising in August on higher power demand, weak wind output
Reuters2026/08/04 18:59- CRU forecast EU carbon prices rising in August on higher power demand, weaker wind output, subdued nuclear generation.
- EUAs ended July near € 81/tCO₂, broadly matching CRU’s ~€ 80/tCO₂ call as wind improved m/m but stayed below norms.
- EU ETS review sparked a brief rally, then reversed as proposals removed automatic MSR cancellations above 400 million surplus allowances.
- CRU base case sees no meaningful gas-to-coal switching in August as gas, coal prices are expected to fall comparatively.
- Above-average temperatures are projected to lift cooling demand, tightening power-market fundamentals even without fuel-switching support.
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