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Kaspa price prediction: Sell-the-news reaction wipes out recent gains

Kaspa price prediction: Sell-the-news reaction wipes out recent gains

AMBCryptoAMBCrypto2026/06/30 22:31
By:AMBCrypto

The Kaspa [KAS] network’s Toccata hard fork was completed successfully on Tuesday, June 30. This upgrade introduces smart contract functionality while adding support for KRC-20 tokens.

The price of the KAS token rallied 20.38%, from a low of $0.0266 on Thursday, June 25, to $0.032 on the day of writing. This price surge likely came as a result of speculators and traders positioning themselves for the hard fork.

However, the altcoin has shed 7.8% within 10 hours of trading. What should KAS traders expect next?

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The Kaspa long-term price downtrend

Kaspa price prediction: Sell-the-news reaction wipes out recent gains image 0 Source: KAS/USDT on TradingView

On the 1-day timeframe, the structure of Kaspa has been steadily bearish. The latest bearish leg was made earlier in 2026, from $0.0532 to $0.0249. Since February, KAS has lacked a decisive long-term trend and has twice managed to challenge the $0.04 supply zone.

It was rebuffed in March and May, and the market-wide sell-offs in the past two months have pushed KAS closer to the $0.025 swing low.

The MACD was moving below the zero line to show bearish market momentum. Meanwhile, the CMF was at -0.17, well below the -0.05 threshold that signals significant capital outflows.

The price structure and technicals agree on a bearish long-term outlook.

Traders’ call to action- Sell the news event confirms bearish sentiment

Kaspa price prediction: Sell-the-news reaction wipes out recent gains image 1 Source: KAS/USDT on TradingView

On the 1-hour timeframe, the recent gains tilted the MACD briefly in bullish favor, and the CMF also signaled increased buying pressure over the past five days. The $0.03 local resistance was overcome briefly as the hardfork got closer to going live.

In recent hours, the swift sell-off confirmed that the short-term gains were only used as a selling opportunity.

Kaspa price prediction: Sell-the-news reaction wipes out recent gains image 2 Source: CoinGlass

The liquidation heatmap also noted a build-up of short liquidation levels just above the $0.03 round-number resistance. The price move above swept this magnetic zone neatly and has already begun to reverse.

In the coming days and weeks, a price drop to $0.0249 and $0.020 was a possibility swing traders and investors must be prepared for.

Final Summary

  • The recent Kaspa token price gains were part of a sell-the-news type event as the Tocatta Hardfork got closer.
  • The long-term price trend was bearish and a drop below the February 2026 swing low at $0.0249 appeared likely.

 

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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