thecryptobasic.com 
A fresh analysis has predicted when Dogecoin will start to recover, when it will peak in the next bull market cycle, and its possible price target.
Market analyst KrissPax highlighted what he described as a 3.5-year Dogecoin cycle in his recent post on X. The analysis identified how the meme coin has historically trended according to the prevailing theory and how it will shape its price action in the coming market cycle.
Dogecoin Nears Lower Boundary of Its Long-Term Channel
This analysis comes as Dogecoin ($DOGE) trends near a region that has played a critical role throughout its market history. The asset trades near the lower boundary of a series of ascending trend lines that have guided its price action for more than a decade.
Throughout previous cycles, major market bottoms formed near the lower boundaries of this rising channel before substantial upside moves followed. An example is in March 2020 when Dogecoin bottomed at $0.00134 after falling from the channel’s upper band at $0.018 in January 2018.
This level was just below the lower trendline, with $DOGE finding support and subsequently rebounding to higher prices. A similar scenario occurred in 2015.
Now, $DOGE is trading at $0.084, exactly at the channel’s lower boundary. The analyst noted that the token is “scraping the bottom” based on a logarithmic chart but does not rule out the possibility of further price weakness.
According to him, $DOGE could briefly move below this trendline support as the ongoing bear market persists before establishing a durable bottom.
History Suggests Momentum Could Return Before 2027
Notably, the accompanying chart highlights three major bull cycles in 2017, 2021, and 2024. Each phase appears to follow a similar rhythm, with extended periods of consolidation and declining sentiment eventually giving way to renewed upward momentum.
Dogecoin Lower Support Band/KrissPax
Following the explosive rally to the current ATH of $0.74 in 2021, Dogecoin entered a prolonged corrective phase that has now lasted for over three years. Bullish momentum returned in late 2024, when $DOGE bounced from a support trendline in August 2024 to this cycle’s high of $0.484.
The same thing happened in the previous cycle, when Dogecoin gained momentum in November 2020 and pumped aggressively in the first few months of 2021. If the historical pattern continues to play out, KrissPax suggests that stronger upward momentum could start later in 2026 and continue throughout 2027.
Dogecoin to Hit Peak in Spring of 2028
Using the 3.5-year Dogecoin cycle theory, the analyst projected that Dogecoin will likely peak in the spring of 2028, which is around March of that year. While there is no guarantee to it and cyclical trends do not perfectly rhyme, history shows a consistency in the timing of past bottoms and peaks.
For the target, the chart shows that Dogecoin will at least eye the upper boundary of the ascending channel, as it has unfailingly done in previous cycles. This would see the token potentially reach levels around $2.10, representing a staggering 2,400% increase from the current price of $0.084.
