USD/CHF Price Forecasts: Rejected at 0.7800, approaches two-month lows at 0.7765
The US Dollar (USD) resumes its broader bearish trend against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains and reaching levels a few pips above the two-month lows of 0.7765, as the market shifts its focus to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, due later on Friday. In Switzerland, the weak SECO Consumer Climate figures have failed to dent CHF strength.
April’s NFP data is expected to show a significant slowdown in employment creation, although the Unemployment Rate is forecast to remain steady at 4.3%. These figures will be scrutinized with interest for further insight into the US Federal Reserve’s next steps, as the divergences among the committee witnessed at last week’s monetary policy meeting have left investors wondering.
Technical Analysis: Bears eye the 0.7750 support area
USD/CHF keeps a bearish near-term bias with the pair unable to take a significant distance from two-month lows at 0.7765. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in 4-hour charts hovers around 38, hinting at weak demand, and a slightly positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading near the zero line only suggests shallow corrective potential rather than a sustained bullish reversal.
Bears are likely to be tested at the mentioned 0.7765 level (Thursday's low), although the main target is the March 10 low at 0.7748. A confirmation below here would bring the February 27 low, at the 0.7675 area, into focus.
Upside attempts have been capped at 0.7809 earlier on Friday, closing the path towards the weekly top near 0.7850. Further up, the April 13 and 29 highs near 0.7930 seem out of reach today.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
CoreWeave Faces Dual Shock in Stocks and Bonds! Share Price Plummets 15%, Bonds in Trouble, Musk Exclaims "Scary"
Analysts point out that the company borrows at an interest rate of about 9%, but its investment returns are less than 5%. With total debt and lease obligations amounting to $52 billion, there is a risk that its equity value could go to zero. Rising inflation has pushed up long-term U.S. Treasury yields, leading to systemic doubts about the financing logic of capital-intensive AI companies. Prediction platforms now estimate the company's probability of bankruptcy before 2027 at 17%.

Federal Reserve Beige Book Warns of "Fierce" Oil Prices: Half of Districts Face Strong or Intensifying Price Pressures, Businesses Confront Price Increases and Profit Squeeze
The Beige Book shows that all 12 Federal Reserve districts reported the impact of rising oil prices. Businesses generally indicated that high diesel prices and fuel surcharges are passing additional costs down the entire supply chain. Since the previous Beige Book report just over a month ago, the U.S. economy has experienced moderate growth, with manufacturing serving as the main support. The labor market continues to see low hiring and low layoffs, and firms in nearly half the districts reported that AI investment is impacting employment.
Crypto market wipes out over $42 billion amid sticky U.S. inflation

