2 Smart Money Addresses Bet $119,000 That Russia-Ukraine Will Not See a Ceasefire Before 2027
According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, two intelligent money accounts have placed a $119,000 bet on "no" for "Will there be a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by 2027," with the current probability of "yes" at 32%.
Zelensky mentioned today that Ukraine will face months of diplomatic and military pressure ahead, making both spring and summer difficult. This year's three rounds of trilateral talks have "not made substantive progress," with Ukraine still refusing Russia's demand to relinquish control of the remaining Donbas area.
Moscow is continually investing significant funds in the occupied territories, deeply integrating their transportation, trade, and infrastructure into Russia, objectively diminishing the likelihood of "returning the land in the future."
Previous ceasefire attempts have had "little to no effect," and U.S.-led negotiations have made no progress on key issues. Washington's attention has been diverted to the Middle East, while the 1,250 km front line in eastern and southern Ukraine remains in intense combat.
Note: Based on their past transaction profile, it is inferred that this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur; there is a possibility of taking profit or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.
Accounts:
0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91;
0x07a6bcc9126f453336a26aaa0cc488ec922a2e31.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Boeing (BA.US) Max 10 certification expected to be announced next week, adding new leverage for debt relief
The Boeing 737 Max 10 has completed key certification meetings and could be approved as early as next week. As Boeing's largest variant to rival Airbus, this model will help airlines replace aging 757s and is expected to become a cash cow for Boeing to reduce its debt.
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries rebounded in August, with UK holdings surpassing $1 trillion for the first time
In August, foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds increased by over 83 billions USD, with Canada and Belgium leading the increase; meanwhile, holdings by Japan and China continued to decline to multi-year lows, and for the first time, the UK's holdings surpassed 1 trillion USD.
Strive's bitcoin holdings increased to 35,595, and TD Cowen raised its target price to $56.
New York Federal Reserve Survey: Service Sector Price Increases Hit Fastest Pace Since 2022, Business Activity Index Drops to Lowest Since March
A survey released by the New York Fed on Friday shows that in October, sales prices for service sector firms increased at the fastest pace since 2022, with input costs remaining robust and supply conditions continuing to deteriorate. Businesses’ pessimism about the commercial outlook has significantly intensified, with the overall business activity index falling by 12 points from the previous month to minus 20.7, marking the weakest reading since March.
Crypto prices
More
