The probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged next January is 88.8%

The probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged next January is 88.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 11.2%. The probability of keeping current rates unchanged through March next year is 46.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 48.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 5.4%.