The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May has risen to 99%

Bitget2024/05/01 13:09

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According to Golden Finance, as reported by CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in May is 99% (up from 97.5% before data release), with a 1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 89.7%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 9.4%, and a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at 0.9%.

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According to CME FedWatch: There is a 34.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September, and a 65.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike. By October, there is a 25.4% probability that rates will remain unchanged, a 57.2% chance of a cumulative 25 basis points hike, and a 17.4% chance of a cumulative 50 basis points hike.

智通财经•2026/08/31 22:12