🔥 Bitget US Equity Hotshot｜2026.09.25 Theme: Bond market takes pricing power｜On-device AI hardware lands · Data-center execution risk · Trump–Xi · Energy

1. Meta Connect ships Muse Charm
   At Connect 2026, Meta unveiled Muse Charm, a standalone AI device: ~2-inch screen, fingerprint wake, front/rear cameras, 5G — Muse can be used without unlocking a phone. Holiday shipment is targeted for December; Muse will also come to Meta’s AI glasses. Muse already topped the U.S. free app charts after launch. META closed up about 4.5% Thursday, offsetting broader tech pressure.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: META, QCOM; Key catalyst: On-device agent hardware enters a validation window; watch holiday shipments and supply-chain guidance.
2. Oracle issues force majeure on Project Jupiter
   Bloomberg reported Oracle sent a force majeure notice to the New Mexico Stargate-related campus developer (a Blue Owl unit), allowing payment deferral if the site misses the 2028 go-live. The campus is planned at ~2.45GW and is designed around Bloom Energy fuel cells; the related natural-gas pipeline was pushed to February 2027 after New Mexico permit denials. Oracle said the project remains on schedule and called the notice a routine contractual safeguard. ORCL fell about 3.5%.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: ORCL, OWL, BE; Key catalyst: AI data-center narrative shifts from orders to power/permit execution; watch pipeline and payment-term follow-through.
3. Trump–Xi White House talks: trade truce extended two months
   Trump and Xi met at the White House on Sept. 24. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed last year’s trade truce was extended about two months, to Jan. 10. The two sides launched a U.S.–China AI dialogue; Xi stressed AI must stay under human control. Jensen Huang, Sam Altman, and Sundar Pichai were among those invited to the state dinner. No clear easing was signaled on Taiwan arms sales or China tech controls.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: NVDA, TSM, AVGO; Key catalyst: No near-term tariff hike is a sentiment floor; chip-export and AI-governance details remain volatility sources.
4. U.S.–Iran talks on a phased ceasefire; oil stays elevated
   Reuters said U.S. and Iranian negotiators in New York discussed a phased path out of the conflict, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran. Major indexes bounced off session lows. Brent settled above $106, up more than 3%; WTI was around $95. Talks are still consultations; no official deal has been announced.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: XOM, CVX, APA; Key catalyst: Ceasefire hopes vs. actual supply timing remain mismatched; energy still trades off oil and Strait transit news.
5. Intel CPU tightness plus the agentic-AI compute story
   Intel’s CEO previously said the company can meet only about half of customer CPU demand. Markets have read Muse-style agent adoption as lifting server-CPU demand from inference and always-on tasks. Tech was pressured Thursday by Treasury yields, but INTC still held up and gained about 3%; the PHLX Semiconductor Index closed down about 0.3%.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: INTC, AMD; Key catalyst: Whether agent cloud workloads convert into Xeon/EPYC orders; watch volume and named-customer disclosures.
6. Treasury yields at multi-year highs squeeze growth multiples
   The 30-year yield hit its highest level since 2004 (~5.45%–5.50%); the 10-year rose to about 5.15%–5.22%, near 2007 levels. Fed-funds futures implied roughly a 70% chance of another hike in October. S&P 500 closed at 7,704.13 (−0.02%), Nasdaq +0.01%, Dow −0.31%.
   🎯 Beneficiaries: XLE, XLV; Key catalyst: High rates compress long-duration tech valuations; flows rotate toward energy and healthcare cash-flow names.

Trading note: Pricing power sits with bonds and oil. The AI tape has split between hardware launch (META) and campus delivery risk (ORCL/OWL). Trade the Meta event and energy swings on the short side; watch Oracle/Blue Owl execution and October FOMC hike odds on the medium side. Size positions with VIX and the 10-year yield.

U.S. equities have been more volatile lately. The above is for information only and is not investment advice.